In: Finance
Scenario Modeler’s prospective stock has a 15% chance of producing a 65% return, a 25% chance of producing a 22% return, a 40% chance of producing a 9% return, and a 20% chance of producing a –24% return. What is the firm’s coefficient of variation of return?
Deep Value, Inc.’s annual stock returns for the last ten years are: –5%, 15%, 11%, 18%, –8%, 9%, 16%, –3%, 3%, and 35%. The Market Index’s annual returns for the same ten years are: 10%, 22%, 9%, 13%, –7%, 8%, 15%, –13%, –12%, and 18%. What is Deep Value’s beta coefficient?
Average Return formula in case of Probability = sum of
(Probability*Return)
Standard deviation = ((∑ (actual return-Average
Return)^2*Probability))^(1/2)
Probability Return RR*Prob.
(R-AR)^2 * probaility
15% 65% 9.75%
0.0389385375
25% 22% 5.50%
0.0015800625
40% 9% 3.60% 0.0010201
20% -24% -4.80%
0.02895605
Total= 14.05%
0.07049475
Standard deviation = (0.07049475)^(1/2)
0.2655084744
standard deviation is 26.55%
Coefficient of Variation = Standard deviation/Average
Return
26.55%/14.05%
1.889740032
So coefficient of variation is 1.90