In: Statistics and Probability
In a recent year, 125.8 million adults, or 58.6% of the adult American population, were married. In a New England town, a simple random sample of 1,445 adults includes 56.1% who are married. Test the claim that this sample comes from a population with a married percentage of less than 58.6%. Use a 0.05 significance level and conduct a full hypothesis test using the six-step process.
We have given :
n = sample size = 1445 random sample of adults
phat = sample proportion = 56.1 % = 0.561
p = population proportion = 58.6 % = 0.586
α = significance level = 0.05
Claim :
Test the claim that this sample comes from a population with a married percentage of less than 58.6%.
Step 1 : To test :
Ho : p = 0.586 VS H1 : p < 0.586
## Step 2 :
Test Statistics :
z = ( phat - p ) / SQRT( p * (1-p) / n)
z = ( 0.561 - 0.586 ) / SQRT ( 0.586 * 0.414 / 1445 )
z = - 0.025 / 0.0129573
z = - 1.9294
## Step 3 :
## α = level of significance value =
0.05
## Step 4 : p value
p value = P [ z > 1.57 ]
= P [ z < -1. 9294 ]
( now use table )
= 0.0268
## Step 5 :
Decision :
We reject Ho if p value is less than α value using p value
approach
here p value is less than α value we
reject Ho at given level of significance .
## Step 6 :
Conclusion :
There is sufficient evidence to conclude that this sample comes from a population with a married percentage of less than 58.6%.