Question

In: Operations Management

Daily high temperatures in St. Louis for the last week were as​ follows: 9292​, 9494​, 9393​,...

Daily high temperatures in St. Louis for the last week were as​ follows:

9292​,

9494​,

9393​,

9595​,

9797​,

9090​,

9393

​(yesterday).

​a) The high temperature for today using a​ 3-day moving average ​=

93.3393.33

degrees ​(round your response to one decimal​ place).

​b) The high temperature for today using a​ 2-day moving average ​=

91.591.5

degrees ​(round your response to one decimal​ place).

​c) The mean absolute deviation based on a​ 2-day moving average​ =

nothing

degrees ​(round your response to one decimal​ place).

​d) The mean squared error for the​ 2-day moving average​ =

nothing

degrees squareddegrees2

​(round your response to one decimal​ place).

​e) The mean absolute percent error​ (MAPE) for the​ 2-day moving average​ =

nothing​%

​(round your response to one decimal

place​).

Solutions

Expert Solution

We will use below formulas:

Forecast (3 month moving average) = (Sum of values for last 3 months)/3

Forecast (2 month moving average) = (Sum of values for last 2 months)/2

Error or Deviation = Actual - Forecast

Mean Absolute Deviation(MAD) = Summation | Actual - Forecast|/ n

Mean Squared Error (MSE) = Summation | Actual - Forecast|2 / n

Mean absolute percent error​ (MAPE) = Summation (|Error|/ Actual)/ n

All calculations are shown in below Excel screenshot.


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