In: Statistics and Probability
A new bus route has been established between downtown
Denver and Englewood (a suburb of Denver). Dan has taken the bus to
work for many years. For the old bus route, he knows from long
experience that the mean waiting time between buses at this stop
was u=20 minutes. However, a random sample of five waiting times
between buses using the mean route had mean x = 15.1 minutes with
sample standard deviation s = 6.2 minutes. Does this indicate that
the population mean waiting time for the new route is shorter than
what it used to be? Use a = 0.05. Assume that x is normally
distributed.
a. What is the LEVEL of SIGNIFICANCE? State the NULL and ALTERNATE
HYPOTHESES. Will you use the a LEFT-TAILED,
RIGHT-TAILED, or TWO-TAILED test?
b. Identify the sampling distribution you will use: The STANDARD
NORMAL or The STUDENT'S t DISTRIBUTION? what is the value of the
SAMPLE TEST STATISTIC?
c. Find ( or estimate) the P VALUE or P VALUE RANGE. Sketch the
sampling distribution and SHOW THE AREA corresponding to the P
value. (Alternate method: find the critical value (s) and sketch
the critical regions and the sample test statistic on the normal
curve.
d. Based on your answer, will you REJECT or FAIL TO REJECT THE NULL
HYPOTHESIS?
e. INTERPRET your decision in the context of the application.
Solution-A:
LEVEL of SIGNIFICANCE=alpha=0.05
State the NULL and ALTERNATE HYPOTHESES.
NULL HYPOTHESES
Ho:
Ha:
Its a left tail test
b. Identify the sampling distribution you will use:
since sample standard deviation is known use t statistic
The STUDENT'S t DISTRIBUTION
s the value of the SAMPLE TEST STATISTIC
t=xbar-mu/s/sqrt(n)
=(15.1-20)/(6.2/sqrt(5)
t=-1.7672
SAMPLE TEST STATISTIC
t=-1.7672
c. Find ( or estimate) the P VALUE or P VALUE RANGE. S
df=n-1=5-1=4
1-right tail
=1-=T.DIST.RT(-1.7672,4)
=1-0.924033
=0.0760
p=0.0760
Solution-d:
p=0.076
p>0.05
FAIL TO REJECT THE NULL HYPOTHESIS
Solution-e:
there is no suffcient statistical evidence at 5% level of significance to conclude that
that the population mean waiting time for the new route is shorter than what it used to be.