In: Finance
A company currently pays a dividend of $1.6 per share (D0 = $1.6). It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 24% per year for the next 2 years, and then at a constant rate of 8% thereafter. The company's stock has a beta of 1.7, the risk-free rate is 7%, and the market risk premium is 2.5%. What is your estimate of the stock's current price? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
Solution: | |||
The stock's current price is $69.83 | |||
Working Notes: | |||
Notes: | Stock's current price can be computed using DDM (Dividend Discount Model), for which we would need cost of equity which we will compute using CAPM. | ||
The stock's current price (ass per DDM) | |||
= D1/(1+r) + D2/(1+r)^2 + P2/(1+r)^2 | |||
We calculate required rate of return using CAPM | |||
risk free rate rf = 7% | |||
Market risk premium (rm-rf) = 2.5% | |||
Beta B = 1.7 | |||
r= required rate of return= cost of equity=?? | |||
r = rf + (rm-rf) x B | |||
r = 7% + 2.5% x 1.7 | |||
r = 7% + 4.25% | |||
r = 11.25% | |||
Now | We compute dividends | ||
D1 = dividend in year 1 = D0 x (1 + g) = $1.60 x (1 + 24%) =1.984 | |||
D2 = dividend in year 2 = D1 x (1 + g) = $1.984 x (1 + 24%) =2.46016 | |||
D3 = dividend in year 3 = D2 x (1 + g) = $2.46016 x (1 + 8%) =2.6569728 | |||
calculation of terminal value at the end of 2nd year the price at end of year 2 is P2 | |||
Using Gordon constant growth model : | |||
P2 = D3 / (r - constant growth rate), | |||
P2= ?? | |||
g= constant growth rate=8% | |||
D3=2.6569728 | |||
r= required rate of return= 11.25% | |||
P2 = D3 / (r - constant growth rate), | |||
P2 = 2.6569728/ (11.25% - 8%), | |||
P2 = 81.75300923 | |||
Now | The stock's current price | ||
= D1/(1+r) + D2/(1+r)^2 + P2/(1+r)^2 | |||
=1.984/(1+11.25%)^1 + 2.46016/(1+11.25%)^2 +81.75300923/(1+11.25%)^2 | |||
=69.82582541 | |||
=$69.83 | |||
Please feel free to ask if anything about above solution in comment section of the question. | |||