In: Economics
Considering the Philips Curve as ? = 0.02 − 0.6 (?−0.05), and the government announces that it implements an expansionary monetary policy:
Given the Phillips curve ? = 0.02 − 0.6 (?−0.05) the Fed announces the expansionary monetary policy.Given that expansionary monetary policy leads to increase in the price level in the economy.
Part A
According to Lucas the wage setters in the economy does not set
their wages according to the inflation rate of the previous year
when they came to know that Fed is going to implement a policy.
This led to the change in the expectations of the wage setters in
the economy. Thus they form their expectations according to the
recent policy implemented by the Fed. If the fate announces that it
will implement expansionary monetary policy then wage setters will
set their wages in a way that they can deal with the inflation in
the future. Does wages will rise in the economy at a constant
unemployment rate which will further leads to inflation in the
economy at present stage.
Lucus also suggest that this policy will only work if Fed is
credible to the people of its economy that is because of its trust
people of the economy will decide their future wages.
Part B
Given the above equation and Lucas critique the Phillips curve is
not a good equation to study the relationship between inflation and
unemployment. The reason for this is that expectations is one of
the major factor that changes the inflation rate of the economy
without affecting the unemployment rate in the economy as shown by
Lucas critique in the above part. Thus we can say that the the
Lucas critique has debunked relationship inflation rate and
unemployment.