In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose 56 out of 100 randomly selected students support the
proposal that will
shorten the semester to 15 weeks.
A. What is the sample proportion of supporting the proposal?
B. Under what conditions can we use normal distribution to
approximate the
distribution of sample proportion? Verify if these conditions
hold.
C. Find a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all
students who support
the proposal.
D. Suppose no students are surveyed. What sample size does the
investigator
need to have to achieve a margin of error of at most 3% with
95%
confidence. Suppose we do not have an estimate of population
A) 56 out of 100 randomly selected students support
the proposal
Thus sample proportion p̂ = 56/100 =
0.56
B) Normal Approximation can be applied to the
distribution of sample proportion under two conditions:
Condition 1: A random sample is taken from a large
population.
Since the
students are selected randomly, this condition is true
Condition 2: The size of the sample or number of
repetitions is relatively large, np and n(1-p) must be at least
10.
Given n = 100
and p = 0.56, hence np = 56 and n(1-p) = 44. Both are sufficiently
large
Hence the
condition is satisfied
C) To find 95% confidence interval for true population
proportion
For 95%, α = 0.05, α/2 = 0.025
From the z-tables, or Excel function
NORM.S.INV(α/2)
z = NORM.S.INV(0.025) = 1.96
(We take the positive value
for calculations)
Confidence interval is given by
= (0.4627, 0.6573)
95% confidence interval for proportion of all students
that support the proposal is (0.4627,
0.6573)
D) For 95% confidence interval, Margin of Error (ME) is
given as
ME =
where n is the sample size
ME should be atmost 3%
Thus,
n > 1051.745
Thus, sample size should be 1052 or
more