In: Finance
A pension fund manager is considering three mutual funds. The first is a stock fund, the second is a long-term government and corporate bond fund, and the third is a T-bill money market fund that yields a sure rate of 4.1%. The probability distributions of the risky funds are:
Expected Return | Standard Deviation | |
Stock fund (S) | 17% | 27% |
Bond fund (B) | 16% | 19% |
The correlation between the fund returns is 0.12.
What is the expected return and standard deviation for the minimum-variance portfolio of the two risky funds? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
Expected return | % |
Standard deviation | % |
step 1: Calculation of Covariance
Covariance = Correlation * SD of stock fund * SD of bond fund
= 0.12* 27 * 19
= 61.56
step 2: Calculation of proportion of portfolio at which risk is lower
Ws = ( SDb2 - Covsb) / ( SDs2 + SDb2 -2Covsb)
where
Ws - Weight of stock fund
SDb - Standard Deviation of bond fund
SDs - Standard Deviation of stock fund
Covsb - Covariance
Ws = ( SDb2 - Covsb) / ( SDs2 + SDb2 -2Covsb)
Ws = ( 192 - 61.56) / ( 272 + 192 -2*61.56)
= ( 361 - 61.56) / (729+361-123.12)
= 299.44 / 966.88
=.3097
= 30.97% = 31%
Hance the minimum risk portfolio contains 31% stock fund and 69% bond fund.
step 3: Calculation of Expected return on portfolio
The return of a portfolio is the weighted average return of the securities which constitute the porfolio
Weight | Expected Return (%) | Weight*Expected Return | |
Stock Fund | 0.31 | 17 | 5.27 |
Bond Fund | 0.69 | 16 | 11.04 |
Portfolio Return = 16.31% (5.27+11.04)
step 4: Calculation of portfolio standard deviation
(WS*SDS)2 + (WB*SDB)2 + (2*WS*WB*SDS*SDB*CorSB)
(.31 * .27)2 + (.69*.19)2 + (2*.31*.69*.27*.19*.12)
0.0268
=.1638
= 16.38%