In: Statistics and Probability
Carry out the suggestion in Modeling Issue 2 for
the 2015 NFL season. That is, use a weighted sum of squared
prediction errors, where the weight on any game played k weeks ago
is 0.95k. You can assume that the ratings are being made right
after the final regular games of the season , so for these final
games, k 5 0. Discuss how the ratings change when early-season
games are discounted heavily.