In: Finance
Here are a few assumptions I make for the Project:
Name of the start-up Company: Easy Naviga Co.
Product: Application App for Drivers
Initial Investment Required: $ 5, 000,000
Source of the Fund: Bank Loan @ 5% interest rate pa
Source of Revenue:Subscription fee
Fixed Cost: IT Infrastructure, Depreciation, Salaries to Full Time employees, Rent of the Office and Interest on Bank Loan
Variable costs: Sales Team Commission, Internet Charges, Utility Bills,office stationary
Solution
Feasibility Report for seeking loan from Bank based on the pay back period analysis and cash flow projections for the app:
Forecast of Revenue & Expenses (For 12 months: Jan-Dec) |
Amount in Dollars |
Gross Amount |
Expected Revenue @ 10 pm for 3000 subscriptions for first Jan |
30,000 |
|
Expected Revenue @ 10 pm for 12000 subscriptions for Feb |
120,000 |
|
Expected Revenue @ 10 pm for 15000 subscriptions for March |
150,000 |
|
Expected Revenue @ 10 pm for 25000 subscriptions for April-May |
500,000 |
|
Expected Revenue @ 12 pm for 40000 subscriptions for June-August |
1,440,000 |
|
Expected Revenue @ 12 pm for 60000 subscriptions for Sept-Dec |
2,880,000 |
|
Total Revenue (A) |
5, 120,000 |
|
Fixed Expenses (PA): Software Development Cost (one time cost) Plant Property & Equipment (PPE) (one time Cost) Depreciation @ 25% of PPE cost of 400,000 Salaries for 5 Engineers @ $10,000pm x 12 months Support staff salaries: 5 person @ $4000pm x 12 months Rent of the Office @ $ 2,000pm for 12 months Interest on the Bank Loan @ 5% pm on 5,000,000 |
200,000 400,000 20,000 600,000 240,000 240,000 250,000 |
|
Total Fixed Expenses (B) |
1,950,000 |
|
Utility Bills @ 500 per month for 12 months Internet Usage Bill @ 1000pm for 12 months Office Stationery @ 800pm for 12 months Salesmen Commission in full year |
6,000 12,000 96,000 1,086,000 |
|
Total Variable expenses (C ) |
1, 200,000 |
|
Total Expenses D (B + C) |
3,150,000 |
|
Surplus (A – D) Net Cash Flow in year 1 |
1,970,000 |
|
Projections for Year 2 ( Assumption: Expected Revenue growth in year 2-3 @ 50% Expected Revenue growth in year 4-5 @ 30% (assuming new apps would be there and would need to develop new app) Thus Revenue in 2nd year at 50% growth on 5,120,000 (E ) Expenses in 2nd year at 10% growth in Fixed Exp of 1,350,000 and 50% 1,200,000 variable exp) (F) Surplus in year 2 (Cash Flows) G ( E – F) |
7,680,000 3,285,000 4,395,000 |
|
Conclusion: Since, the company is able to generate positive cash flow and good surplus of $1,970,000 in the first year itself even after subtracting the finance cost and thus shall be able to recover the investment of $5,000,000 by the end of the 2nd year only considering 50% growth in revenue and 10% increase in fixed expenses of 1,350,000 and 50% on variable expenses (Proportionate to growth of Revenue). Though, the software App is not expected to have a life of more than five years and it is assumed that the app would see a decline trend from the fourth year of its launch, but it is not a bad proposition even in that case considering the net cash flows are positive and the capital investment would be recovered in about 2 years of payback period. Investment : 5,000,000 Cash Flow in year 1: $1,970,000 (A above) Cash Flow in year 2: $ 4,395,000 (G Above) Investment to be recovered in year 2= 5,000,000 – 1,970,000 = $ 3,030,000 Payback period: 1 + 3,030,000/4,395,000= 1.689 years |
Conclusion:The payback period is less than 2 years. Shall be able
to convince bankers for a loan of 5,000,000 dollars since a
positive cash flow is expected from the first year of the starting
of the business.