In: Math
1)
A report says that 82% of British Columbians over the age of 25 are high school graduates. A survey of randomly selected British Columbians included 1290 who were over the age of 25, and 1135 of them were high school graduates. Does the city’s survey result provide sufficient evidence to contradict the reported value, 82%?
Part i) What is the parameter of
interest?
A. The proportion of all British Columbians (aged
above 25) who are high school graduates.
B. Whether a British Columbian is a high school
graduate.
C. All British Columbians aged above 25.
D. The proportion of 1290 British Columbians (aged
above 25) who are high school graduates.
Part ii) Let pp be the population proportion of
British Columbians aged above 25 who are high school graduates.
What are the null and alternative hypotheses?
A. Null: p=0.88p=0.88. Alternative:
p≠0.88p≠0.88.
B. Null: p=0.82p=0.82. Alternative:
p=0.88p=0.88.
C. Null: p=0.82p=0.82. Alternative:
p>0.82p>0.82.
D. Null: p=0.88p=0.88. Alternative:
p>0.88p>0.88.
E. Null: p=0.82p=0.82. Alternative: p≠0.82p≠0.82
.
F. Null: p=0.88p=0.88. Alternative:
p≠0.82p≠0.82.
Part iii) The PP-value is less than 0.0001.
Using all the information available to you, which of the following
is/are correct? (check all that apply)
A. The reported value 82% must be false.
B. Assuming the reported value 82% is correct, it
is nearly impossible that in a random sample of 1290 British
Columbians aged above 25, 1135 or more are high school
graduates.
C. The observed proportion of British Columbians
who are high school graduates is unusually high if the reported
value 82% is correct.
D. The observed proportion of British Columbians
who are high school graduates is unusually low if the reported
value 82% is correct.
E. The observed proportion of British Columbians
who are high school graduates is unusually high if the reported
value 82% is incorrect.
F. The observed proportion of British Columbians
who are high school graduates is unusually low if the reported
value 82% is incorrect.
G. Assuming the reported value 82% is incorrect,
it is nearly impossible that in a random sample of 1290 British
Columbians aged above 25, 1135 or more are high school
graduates.
Part iv) What is an appropriate conclusion for
the hypothesis test at the 5% significance level?
A. There is sufficient evidence to contradict the
reported value 82%.
B. There is insufficient evidence to contradict
the reported value 82%.
C. There is a 5% probability that the reported
value 82% is true.
D. Both A. and C.
E. Both B. and C.
Part v) Which of the following scenarios
describe the Type II error of the test?
A. The data suggest that reported value is correct
when in fact the value is incorrect.
B. The data suggest that reported value is correct
when in fact the value is correct.
C. The data suggest that reported value is
incorrect when in fact the value is correct.
D. The data suggest that reported value is
incorrect when in fact the value is incorrect.
Part vi) Based on the result of the hypothesis
test, which of the following types of errors are we in a position
of committing?
A. Type I error only.
B. Type II error only.
C. Both Type I and Type II errors.
D. Neither Type I nor Type II errors.
2)
(1 point) McBeans magazine recently published a news article about caffeine consumption in universities that claims that 80% of people at universities drink coffee regularly. Moonbucks, a popular coffee chain, is interested in opening a new store on UBC campus. After reading McBeans' article, they will consider opening a store in UBC if more than 80% of the people in UBC drink coffee regularly. A random sample of people from UBC was taken, and it was found that 680 out of 810 survey participants considered themselves as regular coffee drinkers. Does Moonbucks' survey result provide sufficient evidence to support opening a store at UBC?
Part i) What is the parameter of
interest?
A. Whether a person at UBC drinks coffee
regularly.
B. The proportion of all people at UBC that drink
coffee regularly.
C. The proportion of people at UBC that drink
coffee regularly out of the 810 surveyed.
D. All people at UBC that drinks coffee
regularly.
Part ii) Let pp be the population proportion of
people at UBC that drink coffee regularly. What are the null and
alternative hypotheses?
A. Null: p=0.84p=0.84. Alternative:
p≠0.84p≠0.84.
B. Null: p=0.84p=0.84. Alternative:
p>0.80p>0.80.
C. Null: p=0.80p=0.80. Alternative:
p>0.80p>0.80 .
D. Null: p=0.84p=0.84. Alternative:
p>0.84p>0.84.
E. Null: p=0.80p=0.80. Alternative:
p=0.84p=0.84.
F. Null: p=0.80p=0.80. Alternative:
p≠0.80p≠0.80.
Part iii) The PP-value is found to be about
0.0025. Using all the information available to you, which of the
following is/are correct? (check all that apply)
A. The observed proportion of people at UBC that
drink coffee regularly is unusually low if the reported value 80%
is correct.
B. Assuming the reported value 80% is incorrect,
there is a 0.0025 probability that in a random sample of 810, at
least 680 of the people at UBC regularly drink coffee
C. Assuming the reported value 80% is correct,
there is a 0.0025 probability that in a random sample of 810, at
least 680 of the people at UBC regularly drink coffee.
D. The observed proportion of people at UBC that
drink coffee regularly is unusually low if the reported value 80%
is incorrect.
E. The observed proportion of people at UBC that
drink coffee regularly is unusually high if the reported value 80%
is correct.
F. The observed proportion of people at UBC that
drink coffee regularly is unusually high if the reported value 80%
is incorrect.
G. The reported value 80% must be false.
Part iv) What is an appropriate conclusion for
the hypothesis test at the 5% significance level?
A. There is sufficient evidence to support opening
a store at UBC.
B. There is insufficient evidence to support
opening a store at UBC.
C. There is a 5% probability that the reported
value 80% is true.
D. Both A. and C.
E. Both B. and C.
Part v) Which of the following scenarios
describe the Type II error of the test?
A. The data do not provide sufficient evidence to
support opening a store at UBC when in fact the true proportion of
UBC people who drink coffee regularly exceeds the reported value
80%.
B. The data provide sufficient evidence to support
opening a store at UBC when in fact the true proportion of UBC
people who drink coffee regularly is equal to the reported value
80%.
C. The data provide sufficient evidence to support
opening a store at UBC when in fact the true proportion of UBC
people who drink coffee regularly exceeds the reported value
80%.
D. The data do not provide sufficient evidence to
support opening a store at UBC when in fact the true proportion of
UBC people who drink coffee regularly is equal to the reported
value 80%.
Part vi) Based on the result of the hypothesis
test, which of the following types of errors are we in a position
of committing?
A. Type II error only.
B. Both Type I and Type II errors.
C. Type I error only.
D. Neither Type I nor Type II errors.
3)Suppose some researchers wanted to test the hypothesis that
living in the country is better for your lungs than living in a
city. To eliminate the possible variation due to genetic
differences, suppose they located five pairs of identical twins
with one member of each twin living in the country, the other in a
city. For each person, suppose they measured the percentage of
inhaled tracer particles remaining in the lungs after one hour: the
higher the percentage, the less healthy the lungs. Suppose they
found that for four of the five twin pairs the one living in the
country had healthier lungs.Is the alternative hypothesis one-sided
or two-sided?one-sided
one-sided or two-sided
two-sided
none of these answersHere are the probabilities for the number of
heads in five tosses of a fair coin:
# Heads | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Probability | 0.03125 | 0.15625 | 0.3125 | 0.3125 | 0.15625 | 0.03125 |
Compute the p-value and state your conclusion.p-value = 0.15625
+ 0.03125 = 0.1875 and we have little evidence that individuals
living in the country have healthier lungs than those individuals
living in cities.
p-value = 0.03125 and we have little evidence that individuals
living in the country have healthier lungs than those individuals
living in cities.
p-value = 0.15625 and we have little evidence that individuals
living in the country have healthier lungs than those individuals
living in cities.
p-value = 0.15625 - 0.03125 = 0.125 and we have little evidence
that individuals living in the country have healthier lungs than
those individuals living in cities.