In: Statistics and Probability
A researcher wishes to estimate the percentage of adults who support abolishing the penny. What size sample should be obtained if he wishes the estimate to be within 3 percentage points with 95% confidence if (a) he uses a previous estimate of 24%? (b) he does not use any prior estimates? n=?
Solution :
Given that,
margin of error = E = 0.03
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
(a)
= 24 = 0.24
1 - = 1 - 0.24 = 0.76
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (1.96 /0.03)2 * (0.24 * 0.76)
= 778.56
sample size = 779
(b)
= 0.5
1 - = 1 - 0.5 = 0.5
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (1.96 /0.03)2 * ( 0.5 * 0. 5 )
= 1067.11
sample size = 1068