In: Finance
Copenhagen Covered (B). Heidi Høi Jensen, a foreign exchange trader at J.P. Morgan Chase, can invest
$4.9
million, or the foreign currency equivalent of the bank's short term funds, in a covered interest arbitrage with Denmark. She is now evaluating the arbitrage profit potential in the same market after interest rates change. (Note that anytime the difference in interest rates does not exactly equal the forward premium, it must be possible to make CIA profit one way or another.)
Arbitrage funds available |
$ |
4,900,000 |
|
Spot exchange rate (kr/$) |
6.1724 |
||
3-month forward rate (kr/$) |
6.1982 |
||
U.S. dollar annual interest rate |
3.900 |
% |
|
Danish krone annual interest rate |
5.000 |
% |
Amount available for Investment =$4900000
Spot exchange rate= Kr6.1724/$
Hence, converting $ into Kr will give = 4900000* 6.1724=Kr
3,02,44,760
Interest earned = Kr 3,02,44,760*5%*3/12= Kr 3,78,060
Total amount avilable now= Kr 3,02,44,760 + Kr 3,78,060 = Kr
3,06,22,820
The Trader will then cover it via forward rate of Kr 6.1982/$
which gives Kr 3,06,22,820 /6.1982 = $49,40,599
Profit= 4940599-4900000= $40,599
If not converted into Danish Krone, he would have earned
4900000*3.9%*3/12=$ 47,775
Hence, Covered Interest Arbitrage is not viable.