Consider the following payoff table giving profits for various situations: States of Nature Alternatives A B...

Consider the following payoff table giving profits for various situations: States of Nature Alternatives A B C ALT 1 120 140 120 ALT 2 200 100 50 ALT 3 100 120 180 Do nothing 0 0 0 probability .3 .5. .2 Solve the following problems based on above payoff table 1. If a person were to use the expected monetary value criterion (EMV), what decision would be made? A) Alternative 1 B) Alternative 2 C) Alternative 3 D) Do Nothing 2. If a person selected Alternative 3, what would the expected profit be? A) 130 B) 120 C) 126 D) 0 3. What is the expected value of perfect information? A) 166 B) 36 C) 130 D) 120 4. What is the minimum expected opportunity loss (EOL)? A) 36 B) 46 C) 40 D) 166 5. A market research survey is available for $10,000. Using a decision tree analysis, it is found that the expected monetary value with no survey is $62,000. If the expected monetary value with the survey is $45,000, what is the expected value of sample information (EVSI)? A) $7,000 B) $62,000 C) -$7,000 D) $55,000 6. Draw a complete decision tree (show all the alternatives, state of nature, probabilities and pay off for each possible combination) and show the best alternative (what is your recommendation). 5 points

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