In: Statistics and Probability
With the following 10 months of sales data, Determine which of the following models below is the most adequate for your set of data. Use MAD for your decision.
DATA:
Ring Sales:
Month
01 28
02 30
03 16
04 10
05 32
06 20
07 12
08 7
09 10
10 15
1. Moving Average n=2
2. Moving Average n=4
3. Weighted Moving Average (50%, 30%, 20%)
4. Weighted Moving Average (60%, 40%)
5. Exponential Smoothing (α = 35%)
6. Exponential Smoothing (α = 2/(n+1))
Explain your results and analysis.