In: Economics
Using the Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply graphical analysis, show what happens in the short and long-run if the fiscal policy authorities increase government spending. Start your analysis in long-run equilibrium and label this point A. Does crowding out happen here? Explain.
Fiscal policy is an instrument that allows the government to
make changes in spending or taxes in order to influence the
economy. There are two types of fiscal policy:
Expansionary: 1) Increasing in Spending ( can be financed by
borrowing)
2) Tax cuts.
Contractionary: 1) Decrease in spending.
2) Tax increase.
In present analysis, using the AD-AS schedule, the effects of
expansionary fiscal policy ( increase in spending) are as
follows:
Starting from an initial position of recession in the
economy described by point A in the diagram. There is
vertical Long run aggregate supply curve and Short Run Aggregate
supply curve along with 3 Aggregate demand curves.
There is evident recessionary gap: Real less than the Long run GDP.
In order to correct recession, the Government employs
Expansionary fiscal policy by increasing spending
which is usually financed through borrowing. This leads to:
1) Increase in aggregate demand through multiplier effect such that
the economy to move from point A on AD1 curve to point B on AD2
curve.
However, the effects of expansionary fiscal policy are somewhat
offset by crowding out effect. As the
increase in spending is financed by borrowing, this leads to
increase in interest rates (along with increase in
aggregate demand) that crowds out private
investment.
2) As private investment falls, this forces the aggregate demand to
shift left from point B to point C.
Some economists argue that fiscal policy is ineffective in
correcting the economy in the Long run and that monetary policy
should be made use of.