In: Finance
Case Study: Rent vs Own
You are considering an option to purchase or rent a single residential property. You can rent it for $4,000 per month and the owner would be responsible for maintenance, property insurance, and property taxes.
Alternatively, you can purchase this property for $300,000 and finance it with an 80% mortgage at 7% interest, 25 year - fixed. The loan can be prepaid at any time with no penalty.
You have done research in the market and found that properties have historically appreciated at an annual rate of 4% per year. Rents on similar properties have also increased at the same rate. Maintenance and insurance are currently $2,500 each per year and they have been increasing at a rate of 4% per year. Property taxes have generally been about 3% of the property value each year.
If you purchase, the plan is to occupy the property for at least four years. Selling costs would be 7% in the year of sale.
Based on this information you must decide:
CASH FLOW FOR RENT OPTION: | ||||||||||
Rent expense in Year 1=4000*12 | $48,000 | |||||||||
Rent expense in Year 2 | $49,920 | (48000*1.04) | ||||||||
Rent expense in Year 3 | $51,917 | (49920*1.04) | ||||||||
Rent expense in Year 4 | $53,993 | (51917*1.04) | ||||||||
CASH FLOW FOR PURCHASE OPTION | ||||||||||
Maintenance and Insurance Year1 | $5,000 | (2500+2500) | ||||||||
Maintenance and Insurance Year2 | $5,200 | (5000*1.04) | ||||||||
Maintenance and Insurance Year3 | $5,408 | (5200*1.04) | ||||||||
Maintenance and Insurance Year4 | $5,624 | (5408*1.04) | ||||||||
A | B=3%*A | |||||||||
Property Value | Property Taxes | |||||||||
End of Year 1 | $312,000 | (300000*1.04) | $9,360 | |||||||
End of Year 2 | $324,480 | (312000*1.04) | $9,734 | |||||||
End of Year 3 | $337,459 | (300000*1.04) | $10,124 | |||||||
End of Year 4 | $350,958 | (300000*1.04) | $10,529 | |||||||
Rate | Mortgage interest rate | 7% | ||||||||
Nper | Number of years of mortgage | 25 | ||||||||
Pv | Loan amount =80%*300000 | $240,000 | ||||||||
PMT | Annual Mortgage Payment | $20,595 | (Using PMT function of excel with Rate 7%,Nper=25,Pv=-240000) | |||||||
Initial Cash outflow =20%*300000 | $60,000 | |||||||||
Terminal Cash Flow: | ||||||||||
Loan Balance =Present Value of future mortgage payments at end of year4 | ||||||||||
Nper | Number of mortgage payments at end of year4(25-4) | 21 | ||||||||
Rate | Mortgage interest rate | 7% | ||||||||
Pmt | Annual Mortgage Payment | $20,595 | ||||||||
PV | Loan Balance | $223,153 | (Using PV function of excel with Rate 7%,Nper=21,Pmt=-20595) | |||||||
Property Value at end of year4 | $350,958 | |||||||||
Selling Cost =7%*350958 | $24,567 | |||||||||
Cash inflow from sale=350958-24567 | $326,391 | |||||||||
Cash Outflow for payment of Loan Balance | $223,153 | |||||||||
Net Terminal Cash Flow=326391-223153 | $103,238 | |||||||||
Present Value of Cash Flow=(Cash Flow)/((1+i)^N) | ||||||||||
i=discount rate =10%=0.1 | ||||||||||
N=Year of Cash Flow | ||||||||||
N | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||||
I | Initial Cash Flow for Purchase Option | -$60,000 | ||||||||
a | Annual Mortgage Payent | ($20,595) | ($20,595) | ($20,595) | ($20,595) | |||||
b | Maintenance and Insurance | ($5,000) | ($5,200) | ($5,408) | ($5,624) | |||||
c | Property taxes | -$9,360 | -$9,734 | -$10,124 | -$10,529 | |||||
d=a+b+c | Total annual cash flow | ($34,955) | ($35,529) | ($36,126) | ($36,748) | |||||
e | Annual cash flow for rent option | ($48,000) | ($49,920) | ($51,917) | ($53,993) | |||||
F=d-e | Annual Savings for Purchase Option | $13,045 | $14,391 | $15,790 | $17,246 | |||||
T | Terminal Cash Flow for Purchase Option | $103,238 | ||||||||
CF=I+F+T | Net Cash Flow | -$60,000 | $13,045 | $14,391 | $15,790 | $120,484 | SUM | |||
PV=CF/(1.1^N) | Present Value of net cash flow | -$60,000 | $11,860 | $11,893 | $11,864 | $82,292 | $57,909 | |||
NPV=Sum of PV | Net Present Value | $57,909 | ||||||||
DECISION: | ||||||||||
Select Purchase Option | ||||||||||
NPV is positive | ||||||||||
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