In: Finance
FINA 3320: Corporate Finance
Project 3: Risk and Return
Equity Eddie’s Company Net Income Forecast (in 000’s)
Probability of Occurrence |
|||||
5% |
10% |
70% |
10% |
5% |
|
Operating Income |
$100 |
$200 |
$400 |
$600 |
$700 |
Interest Expense |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Before-Tax Income |
$100 |
$200 |
$400 |
$600 |
$700 |
Taxes (28%) |
$28 |
$56 |
$112 |
$168 |
$196 |
Net Income |
$72 |
$144 |
$288 |
$432 |
$504 |
Barry Borrower’s Company Net Income Forecast (in 000’s)
Probability of Occurrence |
|||||
5% |
10% |
70% |
10% |
5% |
|
Operating Income |
110 |
220 |
440 |
660 |
770 |
Interest Expense |
40 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
Before-Tax Income |
70 |
180 |
400 |
620 |
730 |
Taxes (28%) |
20 |
50 |
112 |
174 |
204 |
Net Income |
50 |
130 |
288 |
446 |
526 |
Please show how you got the answer
1.Calculate the expected values of Equity Eddie’s and Barry Borrower’s net incomes.
2. Calculate the standard deviations of Equity Eddie’s and Barry Borrower’s netincomes.
3. Calculate the coefficients of variation of Equity Eddie’s and Barry Borrower’s netincomes.
4. Compare Equity Eddie’s and Barry Borrower’s degrees of financial risk, which firm do you prefer?
1.
Equity Eddie’s Company('000) | ||
Net Income | Proabaility | Expected value |
72 | 0.05 | 3.6 |
144 | 0.1 | 14.4 |
288 | 0.7 | 201.6 |
432 | 0.1 | 43.2 |
504 | 0.05 | 25.2 |
Total | 288 |
Barry Borrower’s Company('000) | ||
Net Income | Proabaility | Expected value |
50 | 0.05 | 2.5 |
130 | 0.1 | 13 |
288 | 0.7 | 201.6 |
446 | 0.1 | 44.6 |
526 | 0.05 | 26.3 |
Total | 288 |
2.
Equity Eddie’s Company('000) | |||||
Given | Expected | Given-Expected | (Given-Expected)^2(A) | probability(B) | A*B |
72 | 288 | -216 | 46656 | 0.05 | 2332.8 |
144 | 288 | -144 | 20736 | 0.1 | 2073.6 |
288 | 288 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 |
432 | 288 | 144 | 20736 | 0.1 | 2073.6 |
504 | 288 | 216 | 46656 | 0.05 | 2332.8 |
Total | 8812.8 |
standard deviation =square root of 8812.8 = 93.88
Barry Borrower’s Company('000) | |||||
Given | Expected | Given-Expected | (Given-Expected)^2(A) | probability(B) | A*B |
50 | 288 | -238 | 56644 | 0.05 | 2832.2 |
130 | 288 | -158 | 24964 | 0.1 | 2496.4 |
288 | 288 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 |
446 | 288 | 158 | 24964 | 0.1 | 2496.4 |
526 | 288 | 238 | 56644 | 0.05 | 2832.2 |
Total | 10657.2 |
standard deviation =square root of 10657.2 = 103.23
3. coefficients of variation= standard deviation/expected value
So coefficients of variation of Equity Eddie’s = 93.88/288 = 0.32597
& coefficients of variation of Barry Borrower’s=
103.23/288 = 0.35845
4. Since coefficients of variation of Barry Borrower’s is greator than coefficients of variation of Equity Eddie’s so Barry Borrower is more risky therefore i will prefer Equity Eddie’s.