In: Economics
Terms of expectations-price flexibilty - potential sources of business cycle fluctiations.
Compare them in the traditional keynesian,new keynesian and real business cycle models.
Expectations are generally adaptive in nature. In theory of
equilibrium, Keynes assumed expectations to perfectly reflect the
actual scenarios. Short-term expectations originates internally
while the long term expectations originates externally to the
employment theory of Keynes General Theory. Expectations theory is
widely used as a concept and technique in macroeconomics. It
describes that individuals decisions are based on three major
factors, i.e., rationality, information available and past
experiences.
According to Keynes, wages and prices are not flexible. If wages
decreases, unemployment will exist. Whereas, firms producing major
items prefer to lower the production and lay off the workers and
employers than reduce the price. The monopoly power of the firms
usually allows them to act in this manner.
Business cycle is created by the supply and demand forces, movement
of GDP, capital availability, and future expectations. The major
causes for fluctuations of business cycle are, interest rates,
change in prices of products as well as houses, multiplier and
accelerator effects, etc. It contains various phases such as,
expansion, contraction, peak and trough. As business cycle are the
ups and downs in financial activities, it do affects the economic
strategies and activities of a firm as well as economy in
whole.