In: Statistics and Probability
In a factory, it is known that the probability of fixing a
particular production error is 1/3. For production of 10 units with
this error;
a-)Write the probability function.
b-)What is the probability that all three can be corrected?
c-)What is the probability that one of the most errors can be
fixed?
d-)What is the probability that two or more errors can be
corrected?
e-)What is the probability that more than three, 5 or fewer errors
can be corrected?
Let x be the number of units fixed or corrected.
x follows binomial distribution with n = 10, p = 1/3 and q = 1-(1/3) = 2/3
a) probability function :
P( X = x ) = ; x = 0,1,2,…n
b)What is the probability that all three can be corrected?
P( x = 3 )
=
= 120*0.0370*0.0585
= 0.2601
c) What is the probability that one of the most errors can be
fixed?
P( x = 1 )
=
= 10*0.3333*0.0260
= 0.0867
d)What is the probability that two or more errors can be corrected?
P( x ≥ 2 ) = 1 - P ( x ≤ 1 ) = 1 - P( x = 0 ) - P( x = 1 )
P( x = 0 ) =
= 1* 1 * 0.0173
= 0.0173
P ( x = 1) = 0.0867
P( x ≥ 2 ) = 1 - 0.0173 - 0.0867
P( x ≥ 2 ) = 0.8960
e)What is the probability that more than three, 5 or fewer errors
can be corrected?
P( 3 < x ≤ 5 ) = P( 4 ≤ x < 5 )
P( x = 4 ) =
= 210*0.0123*0.0878
= 0.2276
P( x = 5 ) =
= 252*0.0041*0.1317
= 0.1366
P( 3 < x ≤ 5 ) = 0.2276 +0.1366
P( 3 < x ≤ 5 ) = 0.3642