In: Economics
Global economy reshaping covid-19
European economy is had already been performing extremely badly
towards the end of 2019.
Europe is almost certain to go into recession over the coming
months.
German economy is in in fragile state.
Italian economy and other part of the European periphery are also
facing very serious stresses right now.
Recently the (UNCTAD)
United nation conference on Trade and development has observed that
the economic uncertainty part by the covid-19 will likely cost the
global economy 1 trillion dollar in 2020. Dogs evasion is based on
world economic situation and prospects 2020 released by UNCTAD.
Worst possible scenario for economy in covid-19:- if the world
economy grow at only 0.5% which would involve a 2 trillion dollar
hit to GDP.
Best case scenario in covid-19 :-with moderate decline in private
consumption investment and exports and offsetting increases in
government spending global growth would fall to 1.2 percent in
2020.
Slowdown in the global economy under 2% for year is envisaged which
wale probably cost in the order of 1 trillion dollar.
global finance market is fluctuating due to the supply chain in
interruptions from China and oil prices uncertainty among major
producers.
Many parts of the Latin American region are also one vulnerable.
Argentina in particular wheel bi struggling as a consequence of the
the knock on effect of this pandemic.the least developed countries
economy are driven by the sale of raw materials will also face hard
consequences.
Heavy indebted developing countries particularly commodity exporter
face a particular 38 due to the weaker export returns linked to a
stronger US dollar. The likelihood of a stronger dollar as
investors seek safe havens for their money and the almost certain
rise in commodity prices as the global economy slows down, means
that commodity exporters are particularly vulnerable.
There are few suggestions for pandemic of covid-19:-
Government need to spend now in order to prevent more damaging meltdown in the coming Times. The u.s. government is in an election year and it need to do more than simply cutting taxes and reducing interest rates. Where is Chinese government is likely to introduce significant expansionary measures short hand for increasing spending or tax cuts.a scenario of dedicated policy responses and institutional reforms are needed to prevent a localised health scare from turning into a global economic meltdown.