In: Statistics and Probability
An important application of regression analysis in accounting is in the estimation of cost. By collecting data on volume and cost and using the least squares method to develop an estimated regression equation relating volume and cost, an accountant can estimate the cost associated with a particular manufacturing volume. Consider the following sample of production volumes and total cost data for a manufacturing operation.
Production Volume (units) | Total Cost ($) |
---|---|
400 | 3,700 |
450 | 4,700 |
550 | 5,100 |
600 | 5,600 |
700 | 6,100 |
750 | 6,700 |
a. Compute b1 and b0 (to
1 decimal).
b1 [ ]
b0 [ ]
Compute the estimated regression equation (to 1 decimal).
ŷ = [ ] + [ ]x
b. What is the variable cost per unit produced
(to 1 decimal)?
$[ ]
c. Compute the coefficient of determination (to
3 decimals). Note: report r2 between 0 and 1.
r2 = [ ]
What percentage of the variation in total cost can be explained by
the production volume (to 1 decimal)?
[ ]%
d. The company's production schedule shows 500
units must be produced next month. What is the estimated total cost
for this operation (to the nearest whole number)?
$[ ]
using excel data analysis tool for regression, following o/p is obtained
Regression Statistics | ||||||
Multiple R | 0.9791 | |||||
R Square | 0.9587 | |||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.9484 | |||||
Standard Error | 241.523 | |||||
Observations | 6 | |||||
ANOVA | ||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
Regression | 1 | 5415000.000 | 5415000 | 92.83 | 0.0006 | |
Residual | 4 | 233333.333 | 58333 | |||
Total | 5 | 5648333.333 | ||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
Intercept | 946.667 | 464.160 | 2.04 | 0.1110 | -342.048 | 2235 |
X | 7.600 | 0.789 | 9.635 | 0.0003 | 5.410 | 9.790 |
a)
bo = 946.7
b1 = 7.6
Ŷ = 946.7 + 7.6 *x
b)
variable cost per unit produced $7.6
c)
the coefficient of determination ,r²=0.9587
95.9% percentage of the variation in total cost can be explained by the production volume
d)
Ŷ = 946.67 +
7.60 *x
X=500
Ŷ = 946.67 +
7.60 *500 = 4746.667
so, estimated total cost for this operation is $4747