In: Finance
A company currently pays a dividend of $1.75 per share (D0 = $1.75). It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 23% per year for the next 2 years, and then at a constant rate of 5% thereafter. The company's stock has a beta of 1.6, the risk-free rate is 6.5%, and the market risk premium is 3%. What is your estimate of the stock's current price? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent
Step-1, Calculation of the Required Rate of Return (Ke)
As per CAPM Approach, the Required Rate of Return is calculated as follows
Required Rate of Return = Risk-free Rate + (Beta x Market Risk Premium)
= 6.50% + (1.60 x 3.00%)
= 6.50% + 4.80%
= 11.30%
Step-2, Dividend for the next 2 years
Dividend per share in Year 0 (D0) = $1.75 per share
Dividend per share in Year 1 (D1) = $2.1525 per share [$1.75 x 123%]
Dividend per share in Year 2 (D2) = $2.6476 per share [$2.1525 x 123%]
Step-3, Share Price in Year 2
Dividend Growth Rate after Year 2 (g) = 5.00% per year
Required Rate of Return (Ke) = 11.30%
Share Price in Year 2 (P2) = D2(1 + g) / (Ke – g)
= $2.6476(1 + 0.05) / (0.1130 – 0.05)
= $2.7800 / 0.0630
= $44.13 per share
Step-4, The Current Stock Price
As per Dividend Discount Model, Current Stock Price the aggregate of the Present Value of the future dividend payments and the present value the share price in year 2
Year |
Cash flow ($) |
Present Value factor at 11.30% |
Present Value of cash flows ($) |
1 |
2.1525 |
0.89847 |
1.93 |
2 |
2.6476 |
0.80725 |
2.14 |
2 |
44.13 |
0.80725 |
35.62 |
TOTAL |
39.69 |
||
“Therefore, the estimate of the stock's current price will be $39.69”
NOTE
The Formula for calculating the Present Value Factor is [1/(1 + r)n], Where “r” is the Discount/Interest Rate and “n” is the number of years.