In: Finance
If a stock has a 30% chance of losing 18%, a 40% chance of losing only 3%, and a 30% chance of making 15%, what is the expected return of this stock?
-2.10%
7.25%
11.10%
-7.25%
Expected return = Probability * Return
Expected return = [0.30 * (-0.18) + [0.40 * (-0.03)] + (0.30 * 0.15)
Expected return = -0.0210 or -2.10%