In: Finance
Bauer industries is an automobile manufacturer. management is currently evaluating a proposal ... Question: Bauer Industries is an automobile manufacturer. Management is currently evaluating a proposal to ... Bauer Industries is an automobile manufacturer. Management is currently evaluating a proposal to build a plant that will manufacture lightweight trucks. Bauer plans to use a cost of capital of 12.4% to evaluate this project. Based on extensive research, it has prepared the incremental free cash flow projections shown below (in millions of dollars):
year | 0 | 1-9 | 10 | |||||
Revenues | 102.5 | 102.5 | ||||||
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-33.8 | -33.8 | ||||||
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-10.4 | -10.4 | ||||||
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-15.0 | -15.0 | ||||||
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43.3 | 43.3 | ||||||
Taxes at 35% | -15.2 | -15.2 | ||||||
Unlevered Net Income | 28.1 | 28.1 | ||||||
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+15.0 | +15.0 | ||||||
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-4.7 | -4.7 | ||||||
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+12.4 | |||||||
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a. For this base-case scenario, what is the NPV of the plant to manufacture lightweighttrucks? b. Based on input from the marketing department, Bauer is uncertain about its revenue forecast. In particular, management would like to examine the sensitivity of the NPV to the revenue assumptions. What is the NPV of this project if revenues are 8% higher than forecast? What is the NPV if revenues are 8% lower than forecast? c. Rather than assuming that cash flows for this project are constant, management would like to explore the sensitivity of its analysis to possible growth in revenues and operating expenses. Specifically, management would like to assume that revenues, manufacturingexpenses, and marketing expenses are as given in the table for year 1 and grow by 3% per year every year starting in year 2. Management also plans to assume that the initial capital expenditures (and therefore depreciation), additions to working capital, and continuation value remain as initially specified in the table. What is the NPV of this project under these alternative assumptions? How does the NPV change if the revenues and operating expenses grow by 6%per year rather than by 3%? d. To examine the sensitivity of this project to the discount rate, management would like to compute the NPV for different discount rates. Create a graph, with the discount rate on the x-axis and the NPV on the y-axis, for discount rates ranging from 5% to 30%. For what ranges of discount rates does the project have a positive NPV?
a]
NPV is calculated using NPV function in Excel. NPV is $67.86 million
b]
If revenues are 8% higher than forecast, NPV is $97.49 million
If revenues are 8% lower than forecast, NPV is $38.24 million
c]
If revenues, manufacturing expenses and marketing expenses grow by 3% every year, NPV is $92.02 million
If revenues, manufacturing expenses and marketing expenses grow by 6% every year, NPV is $119.86 million
d]
NPV is calculated at each percentage from 5% to 30% using the NPV formula
NPV at 5% is $154.77 million
NPV at 6% is $140.18 million
This is plotted on a graph below :
The project has positive NPV from 5% to 22% rate