In: Economics
Explain the steps of the scientific method.
Explain the use of logic to reach a valid conclusion.
The scientific method
The scientific method has five basic steps, plus one feedback step:
The scientific method is used in all sciences—including chemistry, physics, geology, and psychology. The scientists in these fields ask different questions and perform different tests. However, they use the same core approach to find answers that are logical and supported by evidence.
Scientific method example: Failure to toast
Let's build some intuition for the scientific method by applying its steps to a practical problem from everyday life.
1. Make an observation. Let's suppose that you get two slices of bread, put them into the toaster, and press the button. However, your bread does not toast.
2. Ask a question. Why didn't my bread get toasted?
3. Propose a hypothesis. A hypothesis is a potential answer to the question, one that can somehow be tested. For example, our hypothesis in this case could be that the toast didn't toast because the electrical outlet is broken.
This hypothesis is not necessarily the right explanation. Instead, it's a possible explanation that we can test to see if it is likely correct, or if we need to make a new hypothesis.
4. Make predictions. A prediction is an outcome we'd expect to see if the hypothesis is correct. In this case, we might predict that if the electrical outlet is broken, then plugging the toaster into a different outlet should fix the problem.
5. Test the predictions. To test the hypothesis, we need to make an observation or perform an experiment associated with the prediction. For instance, in this case, we would plug the toaster into a different outlet and see if it toasts.
If the toaster does toast, then the hypothesis is supported—likely correct.
If the toaster doesn't toast, then the hypothesis is not supported—likely wrong.
6. Iterate. The last step of the scientific method is to reflect on our results and use them to guide our next steps.
And the result is: Left panel: My bread toasts! Hypothesis is supported. Right panel: My bread still won't toast. Hypothesis is not supported.
Left panel (in case of hypothesis being supported): But what is actually wrong with the outlet? Right panel (in case of hypothesis not being supported): Hmm...maybe there is a broken wire in the toaster.
If the hypothesis was supported, we might do additional tests to confirm it, or revise it to be more specific. For instance, we might investigate why the outlet is broken.
If the hypothesis was not supported, we would come up with a new hypothesis. For instance, the next hypothesis might be that there's a broken wire in the toaster.
In most cases, the scientific method is an iterative process. In other words, it's a cycle rather than a straight line. The result of one go-round becomes feedback that improves the next round of question asking.
The process of deductive reasoning (use of logic to reach a valid conclusion) includes the following steps:
Initial assumption. Deductive reasoning begins with an assumption. This assumption is usually a generalized statement that if something is true, then it must be true in all cases.
Second premise. A second premise is made in relation to the first assumption. If the first statement is true, then the second related statement must also be true.
Testing. Next, the deductive assumption is tested in a variety of scenarios.
Conclusion. Based on the results of the test, the information is determined to be valid or invalid.