In: Statistics and Probability
At Burnt Mesa Pueblo, archaeological studies have used the method of tree-ring dating in an effort to determine when prehistoric people lived in the pueblo. Wood from several excavations gave a mean of (year) 1256 with a standard deviation of 41 years. The distribution of dates was more or less mound-shaped and symmetrical about the mean. Use the empirical rule to estimate the following.
(a) a range of years centered about the mean in which about 68%
of the data (tree-ring dates) will be found
between and A.D.
(b) a range of years centered about the mean in which about 95% of
the data (tree-ring dates) will be found
between and A.D.
(c) a range of years centered about the mean in which almost all
the data (tree-ring dates) will be found
between and A.D.
Result:
At Burnt Mesa Pueblo, archaeological studies have used the method of tree-ring dating in an effort to determine when prehistoric people lived in the pueblo. Wood from several excavations gave a mean of (year) 1256 with a standard deviation of 41 years. The distribution of dates was more or less mound-shaped and symmetrical about the mean. Use the empirical rule to estimate the following.
(a) a range of years centered about the mean in which about 68%
of the data (tree-ring dates) will be found between
1215 and 1297 A.D.
1256-41=1215
1256+41=1297
(b) a range of years centered about the mean in which about 95% of the data (tree-ring dates) will be found between 1174 and 1338 A.D.
1256-2*41=1174
1256+2*41=1338
(c) a range of years centered about the mean in which almost all
the data (tree-ring dates) will be found between 1133 and 1379
A.D.
1256-3*41=1133
1256+3*41=1379
Note:
The empirical rule states that for a normal distribution, nearly all of the data will fall within three standard deviations of the mean. The empirical rule states that
68% of data falls within the first standard deviation from the mean.
95% fall within two standard deviations.
99.7% fall within three standard deviations.