In: Finance
A company currently pays a dividend of $2.2 per share (D0 = $2.2). It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 25% per year for the next 2 years, and then at a constant rate of 5% thereafter. The company's stock has a beta of 1.5, the risk-free rate is 8%, and the market risk premium is 3%. What is your estimate of the stock's current price? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest cent.
Step 1: Calculation of cost of equity using Capital Asset Pricing Model
Using Capital Asset Pricing Model
Cost of Equity Ke = Rf + b ( Rm – Rf )
Where,
Rf – Risk free return = 8%
b – Beta = 1.5
Rm – Expected return on market portfolio
Rm-Rf – Market risk premium = 3%
Cost of Equity Ke = 8+1.5*3
= 8+4.5
= 12.50%
Step 2: Computation of market price at the end of year 2 using Gordon Growth Model
P2 = D3 / (Ke – g)
Where,
P2 - Market price at the end of year 2 =?
D3 - Expected dividend in year 3 = 2.2*1.25^2*1.05 = 3.609375
Ke – Cost of equity = 12.5%
G – Growth rate in dividend = 5%
P2 = 3.609375/(.125-.05)
= 3.609375/.075
= $48.125
Step 3: Computing current share price by discounting the cashflow at required return
Year | Dividend | [email protected]% | Present Value (Cashflow*PVF) |
1 | 2.7500 | 0.889 | 2.44 |
2 | 51.5625(2.2*1.25^2+48.125) | 0.790 | 40.75 |
current share price = Cashflow*PVF
= 2.44+40.75
= $43.19