In: Statistics and Probability
USA Today reported that approximately 25% of all state prison inmates released on parole become repeat offenders while on parole. Suppose the parole board is examining five prisoners up for parole. Let x = number of prisoners out of five on parole who become repeat offenders.
x | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
P(x) | 0.230 | 0.374 | 0.227 | 0.141 | 0.027 | 0.001 |
(a) Find the probability that one or more of the five parolees
will be repeat offenders. (Round your answer to three decimal
places.)
How does this number relate to the probability that none of the
parolees will be repeat offenders?
These probabilities are not related to each other.These probabilities are the same. This is twice the probability of no repeat offenders.This is five times the probability of no repeat offenders.This is the complement of the probability of no repeat offenders.
(b) Find the probability that two or more of the five parolees will
be repeat offenders. (Round your answer to three decimal
places.)
(c) Find the probability that four or more of the five parolees
will be repeat offenders. (Round your answer to three decimal
places.)
(d) Compute μ, the expected number of repeat offenders out
of five. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
μ = prisoners
(e) Compute σ, the standard deviation of the number of
repeat offenders out of five. (Round your answer to two decimal
places.)
σ = prisoners
a) The probability that one or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders is computed here as:
P(X >=1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - 0.230 = 0.770
Therefore 0.770 is the required probability here.
Now the probability that none of the parolees will be repeat offenders is computed here as:
P( X = 0) = 1 - P(X >=1)
Therefore This is the complement of the probability of no repeat offenders.
b) The required probability here is computed as:
P(X >=2 ) = 1 - P(X = 0) - P(X = 1) = 1 - 0.230 - 0.374 = 0.396
Therefore 0.396 is the required probability here.
c) The required probability here is computed as:
P(X >= 4) = P(X = 4) + P(X = 5) = 0.027 + 0.001 = 0.028
Therefore 0.028 is the required probability here.
d) Now the expected number of repeat offenders out of five is computed here as:
Therefore 1.364 is the mean number required here.
e) The second moment is first computed as:
Therefore the standard deviation is now computed here as:
Therefore 1.07 is the required standard deviation here.