In: Statistics and Probability
Problem 2: The product manager of a large smart home security
device company would like to conduct a survey to find the
proportion p of consumers were happy with a new surveillance camera
they bought.
(a) How many samples are needed to estimate p with 2% margin of
error and 90% confidence?
(b) When 1000 consumes were surveyed, 400 consumers responded that
they were satisfied with their security cameras. Find 95%
confidence interval for p.
Solution:
a ) Given that,
= 0.5
1 - = 1 - 0.5 = 0.5
margin of error = E = 2% = 0.04
At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
Z/2 = Z0.05 = 1.645
Sample size = n = ((Z / 2) / E)2 * * (1 - )
= (1.645 / 0.02)2 * 0.5 * 0.5
= 1691.26
= 1691
n = sample size = 1691
b ) Given that,
n = 1000
x = 400
= x / n = 225 /1000 = 0.400
1 - = 1 - 0.400 = 0.600
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.960 * (((0.400 * 0.600) /1000)
= 0.024
A 95 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.400 - 0.030 < p < 0.400 + 0.030
0.370 < p < 0.430