In: Statistics and Probability
A friend of mine does program evaluations for counseling centers that deal with juvenile delinquents. As such, he does many simple statistical analyses that compare some “pre-intervention” behavioral trait to that of the behavioral trait “post-intervention”. For example, say that some intervention is aimed at reducing aggression in adolescent boys. My friend might then quantify pre-intervention aggression (also known as “baseline” aggression) by administering something like The Aggression Scale developed by Orpinas and Frankowski (2001), which yields a value between 0 and 66, with greater numbers indicating higher aggression. Then, after the adolescent boys complete the intervention program, my friend would then again administer The Aggression Scale to determine the effects of the intervention program on aggression (i.e., “post-intervention”).
* State the alternative and null hypotheses (using the statistical notation for stating mathematical relationships) that represents the prediction that aggression will decrease from pre-intervention to post-intervention in these adolescent boys. * Calculate standard error of the mean difference and tobt. * Using an alpha of 0.05, what is tcrit? Would you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Why? * What are the upper and lower boundaries of the range of mean differences that you can say with 95% confidence contains the mean difference represented by the above sample?
Participant |
Pre-Intervention Aggression |
Post-Intervention Aggression |
1 |
35 |
29 |
2 |
42 |
41 |
3 |
45 |
43 |
4 |
39 |
27 |
5 |
45 |
40 |
6 |
43 |
34 |
Pre | Post | d = Post - Pre |
35 | 29 | -6 |
42 | 41 | -1 |
45 | 43 | -2 |
39 | 27 | -12 |
45 | 40 | -5 |
43 | 34 | -9 |
d-bar = | -5.833333333 | |
s = | 4.16733328 |
(a)
Let d = Post - Pre
Ho: d-bar ≥ 0 and Ha: d-bar < 0
(b)
Data:
n = n1 = n2 = 6
d-bar = -5.833333333
s = 4.16733328
Hypotheses:
Ho: d-bar ≥ 0
Ha: d-bar < 0
Test Statistic:
SE = s/√n = 4.16733328000853/√6 = 1.701306687
t = d-bar/SE = -5.83333333333333/1.70130668735665 = -3.428737086
(c)
α = 0.05
Degrees of freedom = 6 - 1 = 5
Critical t- score = -2.015048372
Since -3.428737086 < -2.015 we reject Ho and accept Ha
(d)
n1 = n2 = n = 6
d-bar = -5.8333
s = 4.1673
% = 95
Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 5
SE = s/√n = 1.701293101
t- score = 2.570581835
Width of the confidence interval = t * SE = 4.373313141
Lower limit of the confidence interval = d-bar - width = -10.20661314
Upper limit of the confidence interval = d-bar + width = -1.459986859
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