In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose approximately 80% of all marketing personnel are extroverts, whereas about 60% of all computer programmers are introverts. (For each answer, enter a number. Round your answers to three decimal places.) (a) At a meeting of 15 marketing personnel, what is the probability that 10 or more are extroverts? What is the probability that 5 or more are extroverts? What is the probability that all are extroverts? (b) In a group of 4 computer programmers, what is the probability that none are introverts? What is the probability that 2 or more are introverts? What is the probability that all are introverts?
A) n = 15
P = 0.8
It is a binomial distribution
P(X = x) = nCx * px * (1 - p)n - x
I) P(X > 10) = P(X = 10) + P(X = 11) + P(X = 12) + P(X = 13) + P(X = 14) + P(X = 15)
= 15C10 * (0.8)^10 * (0.2)^5 + 15C11 * (0.8)^11 * (0.2)^4 + 15C12 * (0.8)^12 * (0.2)^3 + 15C13 * (0.8)^13 * (0.2)^2 + 15C14 * (0.8)^14 * (0.2)^1 + 15C15 * (0.8)^15 * (0.2)^0 = 0.939
ii) P(X > 5) = 1 - P(X < 5)
= 1 - (P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)
= 1 - ( 15C0 * (0.8)^0 * (0.2)^15 + 15C1 * (0.8)^1 * (0.2)^14 + 15C2 * (0.8)^2 * (0.2)^13 + 15C3 * (0.8)^3 * (0.2)^12 + 15C4 * (0.8)^4 * (0.2)^11 = 1 - 0.000 = 1
iii) P(X = 15) = 15C15 * (0.8)^15 * (0.2)^0 = 0.035
B) n = 4
P = 0.6
i) P(X = 0) = 4C0 * (0.6)^0 * (0.4)^4 = 0.026
ii) P(X > 2) = P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)
= 4C2 * (0.6)^2 * (0.4)^2 + 4C3 * (0.6)^3 * (0.4)^1 + 4C4 * (0.6)^4 * (0.4)^0 = 0.821
iii) P(X = 4) = 4C4 * (0.6)^4 * (0.4)^0 = 0.130