In: Finance
How do you understand efficient market hypothesis(EMH), and why does it important?
Efficient Market Hypothesis assumes that the current price of
security factors in all the information available and creating
arbitrage opportunity is impossible and one cannot beat market
returns.
There are 3 types of efficiency:
In case of strong form efficient the market already reflects all
the information available in public domain. This won't give any
opportunity to mutual funds to perform better than the
market.
Weak form efficiency believe that past or historical performance
does not affect current prices. Hence fundamental analysis of
company can help mutual fund to identify undervalued and overvalued
stocks. ability to pick undervalued stock mutual funds can perform
better than market.
Semi Strong Efficient market gives an opportunity to profit from
new information as the market will reflect the changes due to new
information. Hence mutual funds can perform better than the
market.
The importance of this theory is that if one invests in market or
index portfolio one can be better than other investors who
speculate. Historically market or index funds have provided stable
and higher returns.