In: Statistics and Probability
How hot is the air in the top (crown) of a hot air balloon? Information from Ballooning: The Complete Guide to Riding the Winds, by Wirth and Young (Random House), claims that the air in the crown should be an average of 100°C for a balloon to be in a state of equilibrium. However, the temperature does not need to be exactly 100°C. What is a reasonable and safe range of temperatures? This range may vary with the size and (decorative) shape of the balloon. All balloons have a temperature gauge in the crown. Suppose that 52 readings (for a balloon in equilibrium) gave a mean temperature of x = 97°C. For this balloon, σ ≈ 18°C. (a) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the average temperature at which this balloon will be in a steady-state equilibrium. (Round your answers to one decimal place.)
lower limit °C
upper limit °C
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample mean = = 97
Population standard deviation = = 18
Sample size = n = 52
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96.
Margin of error = E = Z/2* ( /n)
= 1.96 * ( 18 / 52)
= 4.9
At 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
- E < < + E
97 - 4.9 < < 97 + 4.9
92.1 < < 101.9
( 92.1, 101.9 )
Lower Limit = 92.1 0 C
Upper Limit = 101.90 C