In: Finance
SmartDeal Inc. has just paid dividend of $5. The dividend is expected to increase at 16% for the first 15 years, -6% for the next 10 years and then 2% forever. The required rate of return is 12% for the first 8 years and 20% thereafter. Find its share price today. (Please show your work, and do NOT use Excel to solve)
Share price today will be the discounted value of all dividends paid in future. Here D0 = $5, g1 = 16%, g2 = -6% and g3 = 2%.
r1 = 12% and r2 = 20%
Thus dividends in future (using the above mentioned growth rates) will be:
Year | Dividend |
0 | 5.00 |
1 | 5.80 |
2 | 6.73 |
3 | 7.80 |
4 | 9.05 |
5 | 10.50 |
6 | 12.18 |
7 | 14.13 |
8 | 16.39 |
9 | 19.01 |
10 | 22.06 |
11 | 25.59 |
12 | 29.68 |
13 | 34.43 |
14 | 39.94 |
15 | 46.33 |
16 | 43.55 |
17 | 40.94 |
18 | 38.48 |
19 | 36.17 |
20 | 34.00 |
21 | 31.96 |
22 | 30.04 |
23 | 28.24 |
24 | 26.55 |
25 | 24.95 |
26 | 25.45 |
Now price at the end of 25th year = D26/r-g. In the 26th year r = 20% and g = 2%. Thus P25 = 25.45/(20%-2%) = $141.40
Thus price today = D1/(1.12) + D2/1.12^2....+D8/1.12^8 + D9/1.20^9 + ........D25/1.20^25 + P25/1.20^25
= 5.80/1.12 + 6.73/1.12^2 + ....16.39/1.12^8+19.01/1.20^8+......24.95/1.20^25 + 141.40/1.20^25
= $81.76