In: Statistics and Probability
A survey of 400 non-fatal accidents showed that 181 involved the use of a cell phone. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of fatal accidents that involved the use of a cell phone.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 400
x = 181
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 181/400=0.453
1 - = 1-0.453 =0.547
At 99% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 99% = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/ 2 = 0.01 / 2 = 0.005
Z/2 = Z0.005 = 2.576 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (((( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576* (((0.453*0.547) / 400)
E = 0.064
A 99% confidence interval is,
- E < p < + E
0.453-0.064 < p < 0.453+0.064
0.389< p < 0.517