In: Math
The number of products sold for the past several months is given along with the forecasts using both 3-month moving average and exponential smoothing (α = .2). Determine the better forecast using the MSE.
| 
 Month  | 
 Sales  | 
 3-month moving average  | 
 Error  | 
 Exponential Smoothing  | 
 Error  | 
| 
 Jan  | 
 13  | 
||||
| 
 Feb  | 
 18  | 
||||
| 
 March  | 
 15  | 
||||
| 
 Apr  | 
 12  | 
||||
| 
 May  | 
 14  | 
||||
| 
 June  | 
 15  | 
||||
| 
 July  | 
 10  |