In: Statistics and Probability
The table shows the results of a survey of 100 authors by a publishing company.
New Authors | Established Authors | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
Successful | 10 | 30 | 40 |
Unsuccessful | 10 | 50 | 60 |
Total | 20 | 80 | 100 |
Compute the following conditional probability.
An author is established, given that she is successful.
2) The table shows the results of a survey of 100 authors by a
publishing company.
New Authors | Established Authors | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
Successful | 15 | 25 | 40 |
Unsuccessful | 10 | 50 | 60 |
Total | 25 | 75 | 100 |
Compute the following conditional probability.
An unsuccessful author is established.
New Authors | Established Authors | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
Successful | 10 | 30 | 40 |
Unsuccessful | 10 | 50 | 60 |
Total | 20 | 80 | 100 |
P[ An author is established, given that she is successful ] = P[ An author is established and she is successful ] / P[ she is successful ]
P[ she is successful ] = Number of successful author / Total number of authors
P[ she is successful ] = 40/100
P[ An author is established and she is successful ] = Number of established and successful author / Total number of authors
P[ An author is established and she is successful ] = 30/100
P[ An author is established, given that she is successful ] = ( 30/100)/(40/100)
P[ An author is established, given that she is successful ] =3/4
P[ An author is established, given that she is successful ] = 0.75
New Authors | Established Authors | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
Successful | 15 | 25 | 40 |
Unsuccessful | 10 | 50 | 60 |
Total | 25 | 75 | 100 |
P[ An author is established given she is unsuccessful ] = P[ An author is established and she is unsuccessful ] / P[ she is unsuccessful ]
P[ An author is established and she is unsuccessful ] = Number of established and unsuccessful authors / Total number of authors
P[ An author is established and she is unsuccessful ] = 50/100
P[ she is unsuccessful ] = Number of unsuccessful authors / Total number of authors
P[ she is unsuccessful ] = 60/100
P[ An author is established given she is unsuccessful ] = (50/100)/(60/100)
P[ An author is established given she is unsuccessful ] = 5/6
P[ An author is established given she is unsuccessful ] = 0.8333