Question

In: Operations Management

If your manager asked you the differences between time series forecasting models and regression-based forecasting models,...

If your manager asked you the differences between time series forecasting models and regression-based forecasting models, what would you tell him/her?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Time series forecasting models analysing time series data in order to extract meaning full statistics and other characteristics of data. Time series forecasting model is the use of future prediction values based on previously observed values.

Time series data have natural temporal ordering. This analysis distinct from cross sectional studies, spatial data analysis, related to geographical locations. Time series analysiscan be applied to real valued continouco data, discrete numeric data, discrete simbolic data. Time series analysis can be divided into two classes. Frequently domain method, time domain method. It is denoted by x.

Regression analysis is a set of statistical process for estimating the relationship among variables. Regression analysis used for prediction and forecasting, it use substantial overlap with the feild of machine learning.

Regression analysis estimate the conditional expectation of the dependent variable given the indipendent variable.

Methods of the regression analysis such as the linear regression and ordinary least squares regression are parametric function of defined in terms of finite number of unknown parameters that are estimated from data. Regression can help finance and investment professionals, and can help predict from sales for company GDP growth and other conditions. The capital asset pricing model is used regression model in finance for pricing asset and discovering costs of capital.


Related Solutions

Observations of any variable recorded over a sequential period of time are considered time-series. Forecasting models,...
Observations of any variable recorded over a sequential period of time are considered time-series. Forecasting models, used to estimate values for some future period, are generally classified as either qualitative or quantitative. Use the internet to research the differences between a qualitative forecasting model and a quantitative forecasting model. Assume you are an executive of a large transportation company, and your firm's profit is highly sensitive to fuel cost. The price of gasoline and diesel changes daily, however, your customers...
Describe the various types of time-series and associative forecasting models. Which types of organizations are each...
Describe the various types of time-series and associative forecasting models. Which types of organizations are each of these most applicable to, and why?
Describe the various types of time-series and associative forecasting models. Which types of organizations are each...
Describe the various types of time-series and associative forecasting models. Which types of organizations are each of these most applicable to and why?
Write a report on the application of all the forecasting methods.(regression,time series decomposition and exponential smoothing,ARIMA...
Write a report on the application of all the forecasting methods.(regression,time series decomposition and exponential smoothing,ARIMA models
The manager of a travel agency asked you to come up with a forecasting technique that...
The manager of a travel agency asked you to come up with a forecasting technique that will best fit to the actual demand for packaged tours. You have observed and recorded the actual demand for the last 10 periods. You also identified two possible techniques for consideration: 2-month moving averages (F1), and exponential smoothing (F2) with a smoothing constant of 0.40. Using Cumulative Forecasting Error (CFE) and Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) as your performance measures you will determine the technique...
The manager of a travel agency asked you to come up with a forecasting technique that...
The manager of a travel agency asked you to come up with a forecasting technique that will best fit to the actual demand for packaged tours. You have observed and recorded the actual demand for the last 10 periods. You also identified two possible techniques for consideration: 2-month moving averages (F1), and exponential smoothing (F2) with a smoothing constant of 0.40. Using Cumulative Forecasting Error (CFE) and Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) as your performance measures you will determine the technique...
Your manager is trying to determine what forecasting method to use. Based on the following historical...
Your manager is trying to determine what forecasting method to use. Based on the following historical data, calculate the following forecast and specify what procedure you would utilize. month actual demand 1 62 2 65 3 67 4 68 5 71 6 73 7 76 8 78 9 78 10 80 11 84 12 85 1. Calculate the exponential smoothing with trend component forecast for periods 2–12 using an initial trend forecast (T1) of 1.8, an initial exponential smoothing forecast...
Your manager is trying to determine what forecasting method to use. Based on the following historical...
Your manager is trying to determine what forecasting method to use. Based on the following historical data, calculate the following forecasts and specify what procedure you would utilize. MONTH ACTUAL DEMAND 1 53 2 56 3 58 4 65 5 74 6 75 7 76 8 77 9 77 10 79 11 81 12 82 c. Calculate the single exponential smoothing forecast for periods 2–12 using an initial forecast (F1) of 61 and an α of 0.30. d. Calculate the...
What are the differences between bivariate regression and multiple regression?
What are the differences between bivariate regression and multiple regression?
What do you understand by a time series forecasting approach? Describe each of the four factors...
What do you understand by a time series forecasting approach? Describe each of the four factors in this approach and indicate how they are determined
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT