In: Statistics and Probability
3. In a Harris poll of 2036 adults, 40% said that they prefer to get their news online.
a. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of all adults who say that they prefer to get their news online.
b. Can we safely say that fewer than 50% of adults prefer to get their news online?
Solution :
Given that,
n = 2036
Point estimate = sample proportion = = 0.40
1 - = 1- 0.40 =0.60
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E = Z/2 * ((( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.4*0.6) /2036 )
E = 0.0213
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.40- 0.0213< p <0.40+ 0.0213
0.3787< p < 0.4213
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.3787, 0.4213