Question

In: Finance

You own $10 million of the 8% (semiannual), 10 year Treasury bond priced at par to...

  1. You own $10 million of the 8% (semiannual), 10 year Treasury bond priced at par to yield 8% annually. You want to hedge your position against an increase in yields using the 8% (semiannual), 10 year Treasury bond future. There are no transaction costs. Recall the negative relation between market yields and bond prices.
    1. How many Treasury bond futures do you need to hedge the position?
    2. Compute and plot the profit & loss on the same diagram (long Treasury bond and Treasury bond future) varying the price of the bond as market yields range from 7.0 to 9.0% at 1/16 point intervals. YTM defines the x-axis.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Since the payment frequency, yield, and maturity of both the underlying (treasury bonds) and hedge (futures contract) are matching, we can match the total value of the bond portfolio exactly with the futures contract. The portfolio is long on treasury bonds. Hence, the offsetting hedge position would be to short (sell) the futures contract worth $10 M. Each futures contract has a face value at maturity of $100,00. Since the bonds are priced at par, the no of contracts to be sold = 10,000,000/100,000= 100 contracts.

Settlement Maturity Period (yrs) Yield Coupon Payment frequency Price Price formula
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.0% 8.0% semi-annual                100.00 =PRICE(4/3/19,4/3/29,8%,8%,100,2(semi-annual),1(actual-actual))

As the yield changes, both the treasury bond portfolio and the hedged futures position will move by equal magnitude but in opposite direction, since they both are similar in all aspects. We form a P&L table for magnitude of price change for a change of 1/16 points (0.0625%) in yield.

Settlement Maturity Period (yrs) Yield Coupon Payment frequency Price Change in price from par- Treasury Change in price from par- Futures Change in price from par- Net
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.0000% 8.0000% semi-annual                  93.20        (6.80)          6.80 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.0625% 8.0000% semi-annual                  93.63        (6.37)          6.37 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.1250% 8.0000% semi-annual                  94.05        (5.95)          5.95 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.1875% 8.0000% semi-annual                  94.48        (5.52)          5.52 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.2500% 8.0000% semi-annual                  94.90        (5.10)          5.10 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.3125% 8.0000% semi-annual                  95.33        (4.67)          4.67 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.3750% 8.0000% semi-annual                  95.75        (4.25)          4.25 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.4375% 8.0000% semi-annual                  96.18        (3.82)          3.82 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.5000% 8.0000% semi-annual                  96.60        (3.40)          3.40 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.5625% 8.0000% semi-annual                  97.03        (2.97)          2.97 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.6250% 8.0000% semi-annual                  97.45        (2.55)          2.55 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.6875% 8.0000% semi-annual                  97.88        (2.12)          2.12 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.7500% 8.0000% semi-annual                  98.30        (1.70)          1.70 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.8125% 8.0000% semi-annual                  98.73        (1.27)          1.27 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.8750% 8.0000% semi-annual                  99.15        (0.85)          0.85 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 7.9375% 8.0000% semi-annual                  99.58        (0.42)          0.42 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.0000% 8.0000% semi-annual                100.00              -                -   0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.0625% 8.0000% semi-annual                100.42          0.42        (0.42) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.1250% 8.0000% semi-annual                100.85          0.85        (0.85) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.1875% 8.0000% semi-annual                101.27          1.27        (1.27) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.2500% 8.0000% semi-annual                101.70          1.70        (1.70) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.3125% 8.0000% semi-annual                102.12          2.12        (2.12) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.3750% 8.0000% semi-annual                102.55          2.55        (2.55) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.4375% 8.0000% semi-annual                102.97          2.97        (2.97) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.5000% 8.0000% semi-annual                103.40          3.40        (3.40) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.5625% 8.0000% semi-annual                103.82          3.82        (3.82) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.6250% 8.0000% semi-annual                104.25          4.25        (4.25) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.6875% 8.0000% semi-annual                104.67          4.67        (4.67) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.7500% 8.0000% semi-annual                105.10          5.10        (5.10) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.8125% 8.0000% semi-annual                105.52          5.52        (5.52) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.8750% 8.0000% semi-annual                105.95          5.95        (5.95) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 8.9375% 8.0000% semi-annual                106.37          6.37        (6.37) 0.00
4/3/2019 4/3/2029 10 9.0000% 8.0000% semi-annual                106.80          6.80        (6.80) 0.00


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