In: Statistics and Probability
Overproduction of uric acid in the body can be an indication of cell breakdown. This may be an advance indication of illness such as gout, leukemia, or lymphoma.† Over a period of months, an adult male patient has taken nine blood tests for uric acid. The mean concentration was x = 5.35 mg/dl. The distribution of uric acid in healthy adult males can be assumed to be normal, with σ = 1.85 mg/dl.
(a) Find a 95% confidence interval for the population mean concentration of uric acid in this patient's blood. What is the margin of error? (Round your answers to two decimal places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit | |
margin of error |
(b) What conditions are necessary for your calculations? (Select
all that apply.)
σ is unknownnormal distribution of uric aciduniform distribution of uric acidn is largeσ is known
(c) Interpret your results in the context of this problem.
We are 5% confident that the true uric acid level for this patient falls within this interval.The probability that this interval contains the true average uric acid level for this patient is 0.95. We are 95% confident that the true uric acid level for this patient falls within this interval.The probability that this interval contains the true average uric acid level for this patient is 0.05.
(d) Find the sample size necessary for a 95% confidence level with
maximal margin of error E = 1.12 for the mean
concentration of uric acid in this patient's blood. (Round your
answer up to the nearest whole number.)
blood tests
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample mean =
= 5.35
Population standard deviation =
= 1.85
Sample size = n = 9
a) At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
= 1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z/2
* (
/n)
E = 1.96 * (1.85 / 9)
E = 1.21
At 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
± E
5.35 ± 1.21
( 4.14, 6.56)
lower limit = 4.14
upper limit = 6.56
margin of error = 1.21
b) normal distribution of uric acid
σ is known
c) There is a 95% chance that the confidence interval is one of the intervals containing the population average uric acid level for this patient
d) margin of error = E = 1.12
sample size = n = [Z/2* / E] 2
n = [1.96 *1.85 / 1.12]2
n = 10.48
Sample size = n = 11 blood tests