In: Finance
Sheaves Corporation economists estimate that a good business
environment and a bad business environment are equally likely for
the coming year. Management must choose between two mutually
exclusive projects. Assume that the project chosen will be the
firm’s only activity and that the firm will close one year from
today. The firm is obligated to make a $4,900 payment to
bondholders at the end of the year. The projects have the same
systematic risk, but different volatilities. Consider the following
information pertaining to the two projects:
Economy | Probability |
Low-Volatility Project Payoff |
High-Volatility Project Payoff |
|||||||
Bad | .50 | $ | 4,900 | $ | 4,300 | |||||
Good | .50 | 5,800 | 6,400 | |||||||
a. What is the expected value of the firm if the
low-volatility project is undertaken? What if the high-volatility
project is undertaken? (Do not round intermediate
calculations and round your answers to the nearest whole dollar,
e.g., 32.)
Expected value of the firm |
|
Low-volatility project value |
$ |
High-volatility project value |
$ |
b. What is the expected value of the firm’s equity
if the low-volatility project is undertaken? What is it if the
high-volatility project is undertaken? (Do not round
intermediate calculations and round your answers to the nearest
whole dollar, e.g., 32.)
Expected value of the firm's equity |
|
Low-volatility project value |
$ |
High-volatility project value |
$ |
d. Suppose bondholders are fully aware that
stockholders might choose to maximize equity value rather than
total firm value and opt for the high-volatility project. To
minimize this agency cost, the firm's bondholders decide to use a
bond covenant to stipulate that the bondholders can demand a higher
payment if the firm chooses to take on the high-volatility project.
What payment to bondholders would make stockholders indifferent
between the two projects? (Do not round intermediate
calculations and round your answers to the nearest whole dollar,
e.g., 32.)
Payment to bondholders
$
a). Low-volatility project value = 0.50($4,900) + 0.50($5,800) = $2,450 + $2,900 = $5,350
High-volatility project value = 0.50($4,300) + 0.50($6,400) = $2,150 + $3,200 = $5,350
b). The value of the equity is the residual value of the company after the bondholders are paid off. If the low-volatility project is undertaken, the firm’s equity will be worth $0 if the economy is bad and $900 if the economy is good. Since each of these two scenarios is equally probable, the expected value of the firm’s equity is:
Expected value of equity with low-volatility project = .50($0) + .50($900) = $450
And the value of the company if the high-volatility project is undertaken will be:
Expected value of equity with high-volatility project = .50($0) + .50($1,500) = $750
d). In order to make stockholders indifferent between the low-volatility project and the high-volatility project, the bondholders will need to raise their required debt payment so that the expected value of equity if the high-volatility project is undertaken is equal to the expected value of equity if the low-volatility project is undertaken. As shown in part b, the expected value of equity if the low-volatility project is undertaken is $450. If the high-volatility project is undertaken, the value of the firm will be $4,300 if the economy is bad and $6,400 if the economy is good.If the economy is bad, the entire $4,300 will go to the bondholders and stockholders will receive nothing. If the economy is good, stockholders will receive the difference between $6,400, the total value of the firm, and the required debt payment. Let X be the debt payment that bondholders will require if the high-volatility project is undertaken. In order for stockholders to be indifferent between the two projects, the expected value of equity if the high-volatility project is undertaken must be equal to $300, so:
Expected value of equity = $450 = 0.50($0) + 0.50($6,400 – X)
$450 = $3,200 - 0.50X
0.5X = $2,750
x = $2,750/0.5 = $5,500