In: Statistics and Probability
1.The marketing department for a cereal company would like to know what "proportion" of households that receive free samples of the cereal with their newspapers later purchased the cereal. A random sample of 100 showed 55 purchased the cereal.Find a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 100
x = 55
Point estimate = sample proportion = 
 = x / n = 55/100=0.55
1 - 
  = 1-0.55 =0.45
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z
/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96   ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E = Z
/2   *
(((
* (1 - 
)) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.55*0.45)
/100 )
E = 0.098
A 95% confidence interval for proportion p is ,
- E < p < 
 + E
0.55-0.098 < p < 0.55+0.098
0.452< p < 0.648
(0.452 , 0.468)