In: Statistics and Probability
In a combined study of northern pike, cutthroat trout, rainbow trout, and lake trout, it was found that 26 out of 857 fish died when caught and released using barbless hooks on flies or lures. All hooks were removed from the fish.
(a) Let p represent the proportion of all pike and
trout that die (i.e., p is the mortality rate) when caught
and released using barbless hooks. Find a point estimate for
p. (Use 4 decimal places.)
(b) Find a 95% confidence interval for p. (Use 4 decimal
places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
Give a brief explanation of the meaning of the interval.
5% of the all confidence intervals would include the true catch-and-release mortality rate.
95% of the confidence intervals created using this method would include the true catch-and-release mortality rate.
95% of the all confidence intervals would include the true catch-and-release mortality rate.
5% of the confidence intervals created using this method would include the true catch-and-release mortality rate.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 857
x = 26
a) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 26 / 857 = 0.0303
1 - = 1 - 0.0303 = 0.9697
b) At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.0303 * 0.9697) / 857)
= 0.0115
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
± E
= 0.0303 ± 0.0115
= ( 0.0188, 0.0418 )
lower limit = 0.0188
upper limit = 0.0418
95% of the confidence intervals created using this method would include the true catch-and-release mortality rate.