In: Statistics and Probability
A clinical trial was conducted to test the effectiveness of a drug used for treating insomnia in older subjects. After treatment with the drug, 14 subjects had a mean wake time of 92.9 min and a standard deviation of 42.9 min. Assume that the 14 sample values appear to be from a normally distributed population and construct a 98% confidence interval estimate of the standard deviation of the wake times for a population with the drug treatments. Does the result indicate whether the treatment is effective?
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample mean = = 92.9
sample standard deviation = s = 42.9
sample size = n = 14
Degrees of freedom = df = n - 1 = 14 - 1 = 13
At 98% confidence level
= 1 - 98%
=1 - 0.98 =0.02
/2
= 0.01
t/2,df
= t0.01,13 = 2.650
Margin of error = E = t/2,df * (s /n)
= 2.650 * (42.9 / 14)
Margin of error = E = 30.4
The 99% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
- E < < + E
92.9 - 30.4 < < 92.9 + 30.4
( 62.5 min. < < 123.3 min.)
Yes, the confidence interval indicates that the treatment is effective because the interval does not contain 0 minutes.