In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose Canadian home-owners owe an average of $188,000 on their mortgages. Assume that mortgage debt is normally distributed in Canada with a standard deviation of $100,000.
Standard Normal Distribution Table
a. Albertans are reported to owe $242,000 in mortgage debt, much higher than the Canadian average. What is the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt that exceeds $242,000?
Round to four decimal places if necessary
b. What is the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt below $99,000?
Round to four decimal places if necessary
c. Determine the minimum mortgage debt owing by the 20% of Canadians with the largest mortgages.
Round to the nearest dollar
Solution:
Given in the question
Average of canadian home owners owe on their mortgeges ()= $188000
Standard deviation () = $100000
Assume that mortgege debt is normally distributed
Solution(a)
We need to find probability of randomly selected a Canadian with mortgege debt that exceeds $242000 or P(X>242000) = ?
Here we will use normal distribution table so we will calculate Z-Score which can be calculated as
Z-score = (X-)/ = (242000-188000)/100000 = 0.54
From Normal distribution table, we found probability
P(X>242000) = 1- P(X<=242000) = 1- 0.7054 = 0.2946
So there is 29.46% probability that a randomly selected a Canadian with mortgege debt that exceeds $242000.
Solution(b)
We need to calculate that a randomly selected a Canadian with mortgege debt below $99000 or P(X<$99000)
Z = (99000-188000)/100000 = -0.89
P-value can be found from Z table
P(X<$99000) = 0.1867
So there is 18.67% probability that a randomly selected Canadian with mortgege debt below $99000.
Solution(c)
Here given in the question
P-value = 0.80
Z-score can be found from Z table
Z-score = 0.8416
So minimum mortgege debt can be calculated as
X = + zScore * = 188000 +0.8416*100000 = $272160
So minimum mortgege debt = $272160