In: Statistics and Probability
A recent sports game set a record for the number of television viewers. The game had a share of 78%, meaning that among the television sets in use at the time of the game, 78% were tuned to the game. The sample size is 25,563 households. Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that more than 74%of television sets in use were tuned to the sports game. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value, conclusion about the nullhypothesis, and final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Use theP-value method and the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution.
1. The test statistic is z=____
2. The P-value=_____
Let x be the no. of viewers (people who were tuned to the game)
then x follows Binomial Distribution , with
mean = np = 25,563* 0.78 = 19939.14
when, p = 0.78 , then q = 1-0.78= 0.22
standard deviation = sqrt(npq) =
= 66.23
Now using the central limit theorem, the average no of people who were tuned to the game follows a normal distribution, because the sample size n =25563, which is a huge number
= the mean no. of people who were tuned
Here, mean of = np = 25563*0.78 = 19939.14
sd of = sd of x/ = 66.23/ = 66.23/159.88 = 0.4142
follows a normal distribution with mean of 19939.14 and sd of 0.4142
Now, we could do our hypothesis testing ,
since we now know the sample standard deviation, we would do a One sample t test
Steps:
1. Define Null and Alternative hypothesis
H0 : u= 0.74
HA : u 0.74
2. State alpha = 0.01, t critical = 1.96
3. Degrees of freedom = n-1 = 25,563-1
4. Decision Rule, reject the null if the t statistic is less than the t critical value
5. Test Statistic =
= 0.78-0.74/ 0.4142
=0.09657
0.096<1.96
6. Conclusion, failed to reject the null hypothesis