In: Statistics and Probability
An article in the Journal of Sound and Vibration (Vol.
151, 1991, pp. 383–394) described a study investigating the
relationship between noise exposure and hypertension. The following
data are representative of those reported in the article.
y | x | y | x | |
1 | 60 | 5 | 85 | |
0 | 63 | 4 | 89 | |
1 | 65 | 6 | 90 | |
2 | 70 | 8 | 90 | |
5 | 70 | 4 | 90 | |
1 | 70 | 5 | 90 | |
4 | 80 | 7 | 94 | |
6 | 90 | 9 | 100 | |
2 | 80 | 7 | 100 | |
3 | 80 | 6 | 100 |
Draw a scatter diagram of y (blood pressure rise in
millimeters of mercury) versus x (sound pressure level in
decibels). Fit the simple linear regression model. Round your
answers to two decimal places (e.g. 98.76).
(a) Find the predicted mean rise in blood
pressure level associated with a sound pressure level of 69
decibels.
(b) Compute a 99% CI on this mean
response.
,
(c) Compute a 99% PI on a future observation
when the sound pressure level is 69 decibels.
,
ΣX | ΣY | Σ(x-x̅)² | Σ(y-ȳ)² | Σ(x-x̅)(y-ȳ) | |
total sum | 1656 | 86 | 3059.2 | 124.2 | 533.20 |
mean | 82.80 | 4.30 | SSxx | SSyy | SSxy |
sample size , n = 20
here, x̅ = Σx / n= 82.80 ,
ȳ = Σy/n = 4.30
SSxx = Σ(x-x̅)² = 3059.2000
SSxy= Σ(x-x̅)(y-ȳ) = 533.2
estimated slope , ß1 = SSxy/SSxx = 533.2
/ 3059.200 = 0.1743
intercept, ß0 = y̅-ß1* x̄ =
-10.1315
so, regression line is Ŷ =
-10.13 + 0.17 *x
................
a)
Predicted Y at X= 69 is
Ŷ = -10.13154 +
0.174294 * 69 =
1.895
b)
standard error, S(ŷ)=Se*√(1/n+(X-X̅)²/Sxx) =
0.442
margin of error,E=t*Std error=t* S(ŷ) =
2.8784 * 0.4416 =
1.2710
Confidence Lower Limit=Ŷ +E =
1.895 - 1.271 =
0.62
Confidence Upper Limit=Ŷ +E = 1.895
+ 1.271 = 3.17
c)
For Individual Response Y
standard error, S(ŷ)=Se*√(1+1/n+(X-X̅)²/Sxx) =
1.3900
margin of error,E=t*std error=t*S(ŷ)=
2.8784 * 1.39 =
4.0009
Prediction Interval Lower Limit=Ŷ -E =
1.895 - 4.00 =
-2.11
Prediction Interval Upper Limit=Ŷ +E =
1.895 + 4.00 =
5.90
........................
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