In: Statistics and Probability
A commonly used practice of airline companies is to sell more tickets than actual seats to a particular flight because customers who buy tickets do not always show up for the flight. Suppose that the percentage of no shows at flight time is 2%. For a particular flight with 380 seats, a total of 384 tickets were sold. Use normal approximation to find the probability that
(a) at most 375 passengers will show up.
(b) the airline overbooked this flight.
(c) between 4 and 8 passengers (both inclusive) will not show up
I just want to check my Answers: for (a) my ans: 0.3821 (b) my ans: 0.0643
If my answers are wrong then please give the correct solution
Answer:
Given that:
Suppose that the percentage of no shows at flight time is 2%. For a particular flight with 380 seats, a total of 384 tickets were sold.
n= 384 , p= 0.02
here mean of distribution=
and standard deviation
for normal distribution z score =(X-μ)/σx
therefore from normal approximation of binomial distribution and
continuity correction:
a) at most 375 passengers will show up.
P( at most 375 passengers will show up ) =P(At least 5 did not show up)
probability =
b) The airline overbooked this flight.
the airline overbooked this flight =P(at most 3 did not show up)
probability =
c) between 4 and 8 passengers (both inclusive)
will not show up
probability